2023 Super Bowl Five bold predictions for Eagles vs. Chiefs game including end of a streak for Travis Kelce
2023 Super Bowl Five bold predictions for Eagles vs. Chiefs game including end of a streak for Travis Kelce
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It's finally here. The Super Bowl LVII battle between the NFL's top playoff seeds and conference champions -- the and -- will happen at State Farm Stadium tonight., fresh off his second NFL MVP award win, will be looking to snap a nine-game losing streak by league MVPs who play in the big game, while the Eagles are looking to become the second team in NFL history to win two Super Bowls in a . These are two teams that were constructed differently. The Chiefs, on one hand, have a number of their key contributors back from their Super Bowl LIV Championship team in 2019 with Mahomes, First-Team and , defensive end , and others. On the flip side, the Eagles only on their 53-man roster from their Super Bowl LII title team from the 2017 season: three offensive linemen, two defensive linemen and two special teams players. These teams boast both All-Pro quarterbacks, Mahomes and , as well as each conference's highest scoring offense in terms of points per game. Below, we will make five bold predictions about the big game between these two high-flying squads. More on Super Bowl LVII Each of these teams has scored the first touchdown in 12 of its 19 games this season, and Hurts as well as Eagles Pro Bowl running back have each hit as the first touchdown scorer a Scott Kazmir Jersey team-high three times. Other Philadelphia players to score a game's touchdown include tight end (twice) Pro Bowl wide receiver (once), running back (once), running back (once) and wide receiver (once). However, the Chiefs run man-to-man coverage 28.1% of the time this season, the eighth-highest rate in the NFL, and Hurts was the third-most sacked quarterback (22 times) in the NFL against the blitz this season, behind only (24) and (23). That means it wouldn't be surprising for Kansas City defensive coordinator to send a number of man-blitzes at Hurts. However, the Eagles offensive line is the , and one that quarterback called "." So when the Chiefs blitz inevitably comes early, expect Quez Watkins, the speedy third-year wide receiver whose three receiving touchdowns have all been 20 yards or longer, to get open deep as the Kansas City defense keys on Brown, Smith, and Goedert. That will lead to Watkins waltzing into the end zone after Hurts, the NFL leader in pa sing touchdowns of 25 or more yards, uncorks another deep ball strike. The 2022 NFL MVP says his ankle will "" after suffering a high-ankle sprain in the AFC divisional round against the , thanks to gap between the conference championship round and the Super Bowl. However even with improved mobility, that won't be enough for him to get away from this Philadelphia pa s rush. Mahomes' 2022 season-high for times sacked in a game is four, which is also his playoff career-high. This Eagles pa s rush is going to at least tie that figure on Sunday, giving them at least a share of the all-time single-season sacks record, including the playoffs. Philadelphia has 78 sacks this season including the playoffs, the third-most in NFL history behind only the 1985 (80 sacks) and 1984(82 sacks). The reason for this is that Philadelphia is the only team in NFL history to have four players this year who all recorded at least 10 sacks in the regular season -- (16.0),(11.0), (11.0) and(11.0). Naturally, the Eagles led the NFL with an 11.2% sack rate in 2022, meaning they sacked opposing quarterbacks on more than 10% percent of their pa s attempts. No other team had a rate above 9%. Unlike the Chiefs, whose top pa s rush threat of Chris Jones is head and shoulders above the rest, double-teaming one guy doesn't work against these Eagles. Philadelphia will be able to get to ahead early -- their +137 point differential in the second quarter this season is the second-best of any team in the 21st Century behind only the 2019 Super Bowl Champion Chiefs' +138 mark, making the Chiefs offense more one-dimensional, a frightening proposition for Mahomes, who was last seen running for his life in Super Bowl LV against the after falling behind 14-3. Travis Kelce is one of the best postseason receiving threats in NFL history. He trails only the receiving Greatest Of All Time Jerry Rice in all major playoff pa s-catching metrics. All-Time RankReceptions 127 2nd* Receiving yards 1,467 2nd* Receiving TD 15 T-2nd* 100+ yard games 7 2nd* Matt Joyce Jersey * Trails Jerry Rice in each category However, one playoff record Kelce has all to himself is the most consecutive postseason games with at least 75 receiving yards. The last time he had fewer than 75 in a playoff game was the Chiefs' Super Bowl LIV win over the to conclude the 2019 season. Philadelphia's defense is well-equipped to slow down the hub of the Kansas City aerial attack given that they allow the fifth-lowest pa ser rating when pa sing to tight ends this season, 80.6, as well as what's tied for the fifth-fewest touchdowns allowed to opposing tight ends this season, three. The reason for the Eagles' succe s in coverage against some of the bigger, more versatile pa s-catchers in the NFL is almost every member of their secondary is near the top of the entire league at their respective position. CBmade Pro Bowls in each of the past two seasonsCB's 44.5 pa ser rating in coverage is the best in the NFL this season among 49 players with 75 or more pa ses thrown their waySafety C.J. Gardner-Johnson's six interceptions are tied for the most in the NFL this season.Philadelphia may surrender some yards along the way to allowing some touchdown drives, but it won't be because Fred McGriff Jersey Kelce is beating them. A.J. Brown hasn't topped 100 receiving yards since Week 16 at the on Christmas Eve, and don't expect him to snap that four-game streak on Sunday either. The Eagles have been able to cruise in the playoffs behind their soul-crushing offense line and multi-faceted run-pa s option game. Brown does have seven receiving touchdowns of 25 or more yards, tied for the second-most such touchdowns since 2006, so expect him to get loose deep for a big score and then otherwise have a ho-hum evening. The first-year Eagle broke the franchise's single-season receiving yards record with 1,496, so the Chiefs will be heavily focused on his whereabouts, limiting his overall yardage total. Philadelphia is currently a mere 1.5-point favorite over the Chiefs, which would be tied for the fourth-shortest Super Bowl spread of all-time. However, they are so well-equipped in just about with Kansas City's only perceivable edge being that they have Patrick Mahomes. On Sunday, that won't be enough as the Eagles get ahead early and make Mahomes' run for his life as he scrambles to pa s while attempting to evade Reddick, Graham, Hargrave, and Sweat. Philadelphia deals Kansas City its second consecutive Super Bowl defeat by multiple scores with time-consuming touchdown drives on offense thanks to its punishing offensive line and Hurts' dual-threat dynamism in addition to wearing down the Chiefs offensive line on the other side. It'll be Eagles 34, Chiefs 20, as they join the 1976-1980 as the to win two Super Bowls in a six-year span with a different quarterback and head coach.
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